Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.168154 0.189553 0.212065 0.237461 0.265257 0.294701 0.328193
2025-04-13 0.138739 0.167456 0.199293 0.237021 0.280316 0.328249 0.385128
2025-04-20 0.119614 0.153201 0.192149 0.240253 0.297642 0.363480 0.444261
2025-04-27 0.106692 0.144082 0.189192 0.246936 0.318140 0.402294 0.508433
2025-05-04 0.093946 0.133403 0.182813 0.248183 0.331247 0.432069 0.562366
2025-05-11 0.085375 0.126884 0.180632 0.253848 0.349349 0.467958 0.624456
2025-05-18 0.078515 0.121752 0.179492 0.260267 0.368136 0.504869 0.688608
2025-05-25 0.069869 0.113175 0.172852 0.258598 0.375812 0.527397 0.734753
2025-06-01 0.062896 0.106209 0.167698 0.258278 0.384799 0.551444 0.783107
2025-06-08 0.056661 0.099665 0.162503 0.257313 0.392480 0.573606 0.829218
2025-06-15 0.052984 0.096628 0.162041 0.262811 0.409027 0.607863 0.892069
2025-06-22 0.048306 0.091534 0.158072 0.262814 0.417572 0.631206 0.940543
2025-06-29 0.043805 0.086401 0.153812 0.262309 0.425603 0.654466 0.990184
2025-07-06 0.039703 0.081519 0.149539 0.261431 0.432882 0.676716 1.038876
2025-07-13 0.036882 0.078565 0.148085 0.264706 0.446281 0.707875 1.100690
2025-07-20 0.035061 0.077209 0.149097 0.271806 0.465568 0.747899 1.175911
2025-07-27 0.032342 0.073916 0.146609 0.273085 0.475882 0.775024 1.233202
2025-08-03 0.030685 0.072462 0.147113 0.279164 0.493714 0.813526 1.307662
2025-08-10 0.029287 0.071368 0.148136 0.286072 0.512974 0.854526 1.386552
2025-08-17 0.026689 0.067594 0.144125 0.284258 0.518225 0.874542 1.434945
2025-08-24 0.024537 0.064503 0.141105 0.283906 0.525682 0.897933 1.488673
2025-08-31 0.022486 0.061398 0.137820 0.282861 0.531860 0.919382 1.539801
2025-09-07 0.021471 0.060449 0.138512 0.288793 0.549626 0.959013 1.618972